Who will be elected King County Executive in 2025?
Who will be elected King County Executive in 2025?
Basic
2
Ṁ60Dec 9
36%
Claudia Balducci
13%
John Arthur Wilson
37%
Girmay Zahilay
13%
Dow Constantine, four-term King County Executive, announced his retirement earlier this year, creating an open field for the first time since 2009. All elections in Washington use a top-two jungle primary system. This will be the last odd-year election for King County Executive following the passage of 2022 Charter Amendment 1, however this means that the new Executive will have a shorter, 3-year term.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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