Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models, generate more than $5B revenue in 2025?
Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models, generate more than $5B revenue in 2025?
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14%
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Note that the year for this market is 2025, not 2024 like the other ones
According to Headphones Addict Airpods generated $1.76B in the first full year of 2017, and are widely considered a success by now.
At $3500 that's around 1.4M units.
If Apple launch more headsets with VisionOS they also count toward the revenue.
Will resolve whenever numbers are out, which will probably be before the end of June.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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