What year will the Giant Pumpkin world record break 1300 kg (2866lb)
What year will the Giant Pumpkin world record break 1300 kg (2866lb)
Basic
3
Ṁ126
2030
3%
2023
34%
2024
11%
2025
11%
2026
11%
2027
11%
2028
11%
2029
11%
2030 or later

"Since the 1970s, pumpkin records have routinely been beaten. The rate of record growth has been increasing at a linear rate and does not appear to be slowing down, indicating that there are still substantial genetic and cultural improvements to be made in giant pumpkin growing.[3] Structurally, calculations by David Hu of Georgia Tech indicate that a perfect pumpkin could grow up to 20,000 lb (9,100 kg) without breaking. Other factors, such as overly rapid hydration, can still cause fruit to crack. This is caused by the volume of delivered fluids outpacing the growth rate and flexibility of the skin; much like a bursting balloon.[2] The true upper limit regardless of structural stability and cracks is likely determined by other factors. For example, the number of sieve tube elements in the sugar-conducting phloem in a stem limit the amount of resources available to grow the fruit. There is also a consideration of the climate, diseases, pests, and growing season duration.[8] Every year, about 10,000 growers attempt to grow champion pumpkins, and several thousand make it to official weigh-offs.[5]" Quoting Wikipedia: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Giant_pumpkin#World_record_giant_pumpkins_by_year

The current record is 1247 kg. This will be resolved based on the Guinness world record criteria.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules