Will an anti-immigration party or individual be represented in the next Irish Government? (formed after 2024 election)
Basic
3
Ṁ5702025
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Immigration and asylum policy are rapidly becoming important issues in Irish politics. Will the next Irish Government include any parties or independents that take a hard(er) line on migration? "Hard line" here means being in favor of policies to reduce immigration, legal or illegal.
Anti-migrant parties/independents that are involved in a coalition or confidence and supply agreement with the Government will count. Existing parties, even those not formerly known for anti-immigrant platforms, will count as long as they campaign on an anti-immigrant platform in 2024.
Note that this only includes the Republic, not Northern Ireland.
Edit 4/Dec./2024: Updating to reflect the fact that the election happened in 2024, not 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Who will form the next government in the Republic of Ireland? Election November 2024
Who will be elected President of Ireland in the next Irish presidential election?
Which Australian political party will become the dominant party after the next House election (as of Feb 2024)?
What will happen with the housing crisis in Ireland in 2024?
Will there be huge immigration reform in the UK before 2030? What is the political result at the next election?
At the end of the next Irish elections, will the Irish and Northern Irish heads of government be from the same party?
15% chance
Will the Irish Reunification of 2024 happen?
5% chance
Will there be an Irish Unification of 2024?
2% chance
Will a paramilitary group form around the anti immigration movement in the UK in the next 6 years?
26% chance
Will a Significant US Immigration Law be Passed in 2025?
51% chance