1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
1B valuation for company founded by a 2023 Thiel Fellow by 2030
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Ṁ322030
55%
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One of the 2023 fellows will have founded a company with valuation >1B by 2030
Note: it should be a single company; two fellows companies of 500m each does not count.
The list:
Akshaya Dinesh: Spellbound
Alex Singer: Voldex
Ethan Thornton: Mach Industries
Hugo Chrost: Solvemed
Ian Michael Brock: Dream Hustle Code
Jake Adler: Neusleep
John Guibas: Succinct
John McElhone: CropSafe
Kai Micah Mills: Cryopets
Kesava Kirupa Dinakaran: Luminai
Kian Sadeghi: Nucleus Genomics
Markie Wagner: Delphi Labs
Michael Ioffe: Arist
Nik Shevchenko: WeLoveNoCode
Quinn Favret: Tavus
Reiss Jones: Macro Energy
Samarth Athreya: Axiome
Sara Du: Mutiny
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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