Will a weakly general AI become publicly known before 2030?
Plus
22
Ṁ4032029
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to this Metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
92% chance
When will a weakly general AI become publicly known?
2028
Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035?
80% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2030?
38% chance
Will an AI get a Nobel Prize before 2050?
29% chance
Will AI be broadly considered "boring"/commonplace/unremarkable by 2025?
13% chance
Will a sentient AI system have existed before 2030? [Resolves to 2100 expert consensus]
38% chance
Will an AI get elected as a politician by 2050?
32% chance
In which year will a majority of AI researchers concur that a superintelligent, fairly general AI has been realized?
Is the nature of AI risk completely misunderstood today with respect to the state of the art in 2030?
41% chance