Will the December Case Shiller be below last year's?
0
Feb 28
50%
chance

Resolution via FRED https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSUSHPINSA

S&P Case Shiller National Home Price Index, NOT seasonally adjusted.

The number posted for December 2024 is 323.375. If the value for December 2025 is below this, the market resolves to YES; otherwise NO.

I will not wait for any adjustments to come out - once FRED publishes the number, that's the number.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules