Will Pax Dei reach 100k concurrent players by 2026?
Will Pax Dei reach 100k concurrent players by 2026?
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Pax Dei is an upcoming social sandbox MMORPG.
Resolves Yes if at any point before Jan 1st 2026 Pax Dei has over 100,000 concurrent players, else No.
Resolves No if the game does not launch at all.
I will use Steam's concurrent player count to evaluate this. If the game launches on some other platform or indepently provides a concurrent player statistics I may use those.
In the case of ambiguity (for example if the game launches on multiple platforms and the count of players on Steam is <100k and an overall total isn't available but the total could plausbily be above 100k) I will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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