Will Russia and Ukraine enter into peace negotiations before 12/31/24?
Plus
35
Ṁ4041Jan 1
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@Willi Will rely on commentary in NYTimes and WSJ to determine if the negotiations seem to be serious vs. a sham. Will resolve Yes if serious even if the result is ultimately unsuccessful.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be peace talks between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
8% chance
Will Ukraine and Russia have a cease-fire or peace before 2026?
58% chance
Will there be a Ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia before the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will a ceasefire be agreed between Russia and Ukraine in 2024?
4% chance
[ACX 2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
3% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
1% chance
Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?
59% chance
Will Ukraine reach a peace treaty with Russia before the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will China convene and mediate peace negotiations between representatives of Ukraine and Russia by the end of 2024?
4% chance