Which canals built by 2050?
Which canals built by 2050?
Basic
3
Ṁ5242051
6%
Eurasia Canal
16%
Istanbul Canal
17%
Thai Canal
20%
Nicaragua Canal
16%
Salwa Canal
16%
Northern river reversal
20%
Sulawesi Canal
Which of the canals from the Wikipedia's List of proposed canals (current revision as of market creation) will be built any time between now and the close date in 2050?
To be considered built, it must be possible to navigate a boat of any size down the length of at least 95% of the canal.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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