Will California prisoners be required to make minimum wage by 2026?
Will California prisoners be required to make minimum wage by 2026?
Plus
11
Ṁ10732027
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
California Proposition 6 would strike the provision in the state constitution that allows forced labor in prisons. Several states have made similar revisions. At current writing it is expected to pass.
There is speculation that this change necessitates reclassifying California prison workers as eligible for minimum wage.
Regardless of whether Prop 6 passes, will California prisoners be required to make minimum wage for prison work by the end of 2026?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will California formally abolish the death penalty by end of year 2025?
22% chance
Will California sign into law any more AI bills before July 2025?
44% chance
Will there be an AI ballot measure in California in 2026?
49% chance
Will the federal minimum wage increase before EOY 2027?
55% chance
Will California's AI training data transparency law go into effect in 2026?
52% chance
Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2% adjustment cap)
25% chance
Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026?
49% chance
Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2/3's majority requirement)
32% chance
Which year will California ban factory farming?
2067
Will California independence be voted on in 2026?
15% chance