Will the Pokemon Firered/leaftgreen Elite 4 Round 2 speedrun WR go below 3h 26m before 2028?
Will the Pokemon Firered/leaftgreen Elite 4 Round 2 speedrun WR go below 3h 26m before 2028?
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Will resolve YES if there is at least one submission on the website speedrun.com for the game "Pokémon FireRed/LeafGreen (2004) in the category "Elite 4 Round 2" with a Time of 3h 25m 59s or lower with a "Date" of 2027-12-31 or earlier that is Verified. The Date refers to when the run was played and not when it was submitted. Since submission and verification can take time the question will otherwise resolve 2028-02-01 to NO, if no such submission exist.
As of creating the question the WR is 3h 27m 20s by Pokeguy played 2024-07-25.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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