Will there be a plane crash in Russia with ≥100 victims?
Plus
18
Ṁ1858Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Russia has limited access to parts, software, and technical skills needed to carry out critical maintenance on hundreds of commercial jets. U.S. and European sanctions have cut off the Russian carriers from any contact with plane makers, maintenance partners, and many of the suppliers for the planes’ key parts, from engines to landing gear.
Will there be a major (100 or more fatalities, including passengers, crew, and people on land) airplane crash in Russia in 2024?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By EOY 2025, will anyone die on a plane flight as a result of incendiary devices planted by Russia?
14% chance
Will Putin die in a plane crash?
10% chance
Will Russia kill 1,000+ people before 2025 with nuclear strikes?
7% chance
Will more than 1000 people die in an internal conflict in Russia by 2025?
10% chance
Will there be >10 deaths in internal conflicts in Russia in 2024?
63% chance
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will there be another terrorist attack that Russia blames on Ukraine in 2024, causing at least 100 deaths?
15% chance
What will be the official cause of the Prigozhin plane crash as reported by Russia after their investigation?
Will there be a second civil aviation airport collision with fatalities in 2024?
14% chance
Will there be a major aviation accident this year with greater loss of life than 2023?
26% chance