Will a nuclear torchship be operated in space before 2100?
Basic
7
Ṁ1502099
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if a spacecraft with a nuclear engine achieves an Operational Empty Weight specific thrust power of >100 kW/kg at a specific impulse of >10,000 s prior to 2100.
"Nuclear engine" means that the engine derives it's thrust power from fission or fusion of fuel that is carried onboard the spacecraft prior to ignition - so a nuclear pulse engine, saltwater rocket, or direct fusion engine would qualify, but an thin film solar sail would not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
59% chance
Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2035?
54% chance
Will a nuclear thermal engine be successfully used to power a spacecraft before 2030?
47% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated in space by 2050?
62% chance
Will an offensive nuclear detonation occur by 2080?
44% chance
Will nuclear propulsion be used in any spacecraft before 2050?
85% chance
Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?
65% chance
Will nuclear weapons be used on Earth before 2050?
39% chance
Will a nuclear saltwater rocket engine be tested before 2040?
30% chance
Will a pure nuclear fusion bomb be developed before 2100?
37% chance