A reputable news outlet reports on a Twitter Julian Assange disinformation campaign by EOY 2024.
Basic
2
Ṁ30Dec 31
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to YES if, by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2024, a reputable news outlet publishes a report explicitly identifying a disinformation campaign with the intent to negatively shape public opinion about Julian Assange that originated or significantly spread on Twitter (now known as X). Otherwise, the market resolves NO.
A "disinformation campaign" is defined as an effort to spread false or misleading information with the intent to deceive the public. The disinformation campaign might make use of bots.
A "reputable news outlet" must meet Wikipedia's criteria.
Participants are encouraged to monitor the news for reports to determine if and when the market criteria are met.
I will not participate in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Julian Assange create Nostr profile in 2024?
10% chance
Will Julian Assange be guest of The Joe Rogan Experience podcast in 2024?
8% chance
Will the Espionage Act charges against Julian Assange be dropped by the Biden Administration in 2024?
11% chance
Will Julian Assange be extradited to the US by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Wikileaks post another official leak before the end of 2025?
41% chance
Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Wikileaks post a new leak before the next election?
46% chance
Will Lex Friedman post an interview with Julian Assange by the end of 2025?
36% chance
Will @Scientific_Bird on Twitter get doxxed by EOY2028?
50% chance
Will Wikileaks post a new leak before the end of 2026?
18% chance