Will a reputable report estimate that 25% or more of US adolescents suffer from depression by 2027?
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Reputable reports include SAMHSA's National Survey of Drug Use and Health (NSDUH), but I reserve the right to reference estimates from a report of similar stature.
In particular, I'll reference estimated overall prevalence of a past-year major depressive episode among adolescents aged 12 to 17, as the NSDUH does.
Such an estimate would have to be publicly reported before this market closes (that is, data on 2026 rates of depression won't be considered unless the report is posted before 2027).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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