Will there be at least 100 people on mars by 2050?
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27
Ṁ25352051
30%
chance
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If any companies or countries gets 100 people or more to be on mars and alive by the end of 2050 this will resolve as a YES. If there is less than 100, it will resolve as NO. Any crashes or corpses will not be inuded in the final head count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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The USA has spent 3% of its national budget on the Apollo program to put 12 people on the moon. A Mars colony would be massively more expensive - the most expensive project in human history. Why put 100 people on Mars in the next 25 years when 10 people only cost 10% of that?
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